2009 Oscar Predictions

2009 Oscar Predictions

The Oscars are this Sunday, February 22, 2009 at 8 PM EST / 5 PM PST, which will probably be another drawn out awards show.

Published February 19, 2009

The Oscars are this Sunday, February 22, 2009 at 8 PM EST / 5 PM PST, which will probably be another drawn out awards show. However, according to EOnline.com, Beyonce is scheduled to perform along with Hugh Jackman . The Oscars are being produced by Bill Condon , who produced Dreamgirls and according to him the performances will, "shake things up."

Here are my Oscar predictions, which are not etched in stone -- there can always be an upset, but I don't see many shockers coming this year.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams - Doubt
Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis - Doubt
Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler

Should win : Viola Davis in Doubt . Although her role was small, her character was pivotal to the film and her scene with Meryl Streep was classic. Of course I loved Taraji's performance, but Davis moved me just a bit more and she has been acting for over 13 years.

Will win : Penelope Cruz in Vicky Cristina Barcelona. This is her second nomination and now that Kate Winselt isn't in the category, this award is all Penelope's.  However, I do think there is a slight chance Marisa Tomei might snatch it for The Wrestler .

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Josh Brolin - Milk
Robert Downey Jr . - Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road

Will win/should win : Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight . As long as Robert Downey, Jr. doesn't win I will be happy . This award has the late, great Heath written all over it -- even if he was alive the award would still be his. The only actor to receive an Oscar posthumously was Peter Finch in 1977 for Network .

BEST ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie - Changeling
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet - The Reader

Should win : Honestly, Melissa Leo in Frozen River gave the best performance, but there is no way she will win over Angelina Jolie, Meryl Streep and Kate Winslet.

Will win : After six nominations and her complaints, this award is going to Kate Winslet for The Reader . It would be pretty hilarious if for some reason they gave the award to someone else, but I doubt it.

BEST ACTOR
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn - Milk
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler

Should win : Sean Penn for Milk . The former bad boy played a character so far removed from himself (a gay activist who was murdered) and did it so perfectly that this award should be his. However, he has already won his Oscar—I doubt he will win.

Will win : This is Mickey Rourke's year. It's the comeback story that dreams are made of. My only issue is his character in The Wrestler is so much like himself. Nonetheless, Rourke is going to be the winner of the evening.

BEST PICTURE
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire


Should win/will win : It's all about Slumdog Millionaire . This is one of the few times that a film is not overrated and deserves all the accolades it receives.

The Oscars airs this Sunday, February 22, 2009 at 8 PM EST / 5 PM PST.  Come back here on Monday for a full recap!

Written by Clay Cane

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