The Iran War Is Costing Black America More Than Anyone's Saying
President Trump finally addressed the nation Wednesday night about the war in Iran, 33 days after the first bombs fell. He called it a success. He promised it would be over "very shortly." He spoke for about 19 minutes from the White House and said all the things you'd expect him to say.
But while he was talking, a lot of Black folks were doing something else entirely. They were calculating.
Since Operation Epic Fury began on February 28, American families are paying nearly 80 cents more per gallon for gas every time they fill up, a cost that adds up to more than $300 million in additional spending every single day. That's not an abstract number. That's the difference between filling your tank and not. That's the gig worker running DoorDash in Atlanta deciding which neighborhoods are even worth the drive. That's the single mom in Inglewood watching the pump click past $60, $70, $80 and doing math in her head she didn't budget for.
For the first time since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the national average retail price of gasoline crossed $4 per gallon. And if you're in California? GasBuddy recorded the average on March 31 at $5.87 per gallon. In a state where Black communities are already navigating some of the highest costs of living in the country, that number hits different.
Trump stood in front of the cameras and said the gas price spike is "entirely the result of the Iranian regime." He framed it as a short-term inconvenience, a small price to pay for what he called "overwhelming victories on the battlefield." He threatened to obliterate Iran's electric generating plants and target its oil sites if Iranian leaders don't make a deal, while simultaneously claiming the war is "nearing completion." Both things can't really be true at the same time, but here we are.
Here's what Trump didn't say: Black Americans, who already face persistent wealth gaps and are disproportionately represented in the working class, are absorbing these shocks with less cushion than almost anyone else. Rising fuel costs are already pushing up mortgage rates, battering stock markets, and cutting into discretionary spending across the board. For communities where homeownership is harder to access and retirement savings are thinner, that's not a temporary inconvenience. That's a setback.
The pain at the pump is only the first wave. Fuel price spikes drive up the price of food, since fossil fuels account for between 40 and 50 percent of all variable costs of growing crops, and rising diesel prices push up the cost of transporting groceries from field to store. So the same communities already facing food insecurity are about to see their grocery bills climb too.
And then there's the military piece, which rarely gets talked about plainly: Black Americans serve in the U.S. armed forces at higher rates than their share of the general population. Every week this war extends is another week that disproportionately puts Black service members in harm's way for a conflict most Americans aren't even sold on. New CNN polling shows only one-third of Americans believe Trump has a clear plan for handling the situation in Iran.
Meanwhile, conflicting reports continue to swirl about whether actual peace talks are even happening. Trump claims negotiations are progressing. Iranian officials say no such discussions are taking place. Iran's foreign minister called Trump's ceasefire claims "false and baseless." The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, and Trump has now suggested that other countries should "fend for themselves" in securing passage through the waterway, walking back earlier threats he'd force it open.
Trump reminded the nation that World War I, World War II, Korea, Vietnam, and Iraq all lasted for years. He's right about that. He used it to argue this war is going fast. But for people already stretched thin, even a few more weeks of this economy is a long time.
Trump got his primetime moment. Black America got higher gas prices, shakier grocery bills, and a war nobody asked for that still doesn't have a real exit plan attached to it.
The math isn't mathing.