If a new survey is accurate, Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron, a Donald Trump-backed candidate who came under fire after he declined to charge police in the Breonna Taylor case, will win the GOP’s gubernatorial nomination in Tuesday’s (May 16) primary election.

Cameron is expected to receive about 33 percent of support among likely Kentucky Republican voters – nearly double his closest rival, according to an Emerson College Polling/Fox 56 Lexington survey released on Sunday (May 14).

In the survey, former UN Ambassador Kelly Craft polled at roughly 18 percent, and Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner Ryan Quarles at 13 percent. Cameron’s lead increased to 36 percent when pollsters asked undecided voters which candidate they’re leaning toward. Craft’s numbers remained the same, but Quarles’ increased 2 percent.

The poll also revealed that Cameron’s support grew 3 percent compared to a similar Emerson/Fox survey released in April.

“Cameron has grown his  support amongst women, from 29 percent in April to 36 percent in the current poll,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling said. “Men have shifted away from Craft by 10 points since April, 29 percent to 19 percent.”

Former President Trump endorsed Cameron in June 2022, saying he’s known Cameron “from the beginning of his meteoric rise, and he is absolutely outstanding in every way.”

In September, the Louisville NAACP called on Cameron to resign over what they felt was his siding with law enforcement in the fatal police shooting of Taylor.

On March 13, 2020, Louisville Police Department officers forced themselves into Taylor's apartment during a botched raid, killing the 26-year-old African American woman who worked as an emergency room technician. Her death sparked outrage across the country.

Under Cameron’s investigation, which the civil rights organization said favored the police, no one was charged with a crime.

But federal prosecutors filed charges in August 2022 against some of the officers connected with Taylor’s case, which prompted the Justice Department also to launch an investigation of the department. That probe ended in March with the DOJ finding a pattern in the police department of violating civil rights, conducting unlawful searches and discriminating against Black people and people with disabilities.

Whoever wins Tuesday’s primary will face Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear in the November general election.